Our top picks for all 18 Crystal Ball questions, ranked by expected points. Most answers are read from 20,000 simulated tournaments built from Oracle's Elixir match data and our live LoL match model; a few also use Worlds history, and each question's method note says how it was answered.
Presence, win rate, deaths, Teemo and champion variety.
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Player stat leaders, head-to-heads and the Finals MVP.
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Sign in or create a free account to unlock any 10 questions.
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Game length, big individual games and the Knockout field.
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Regional runs, head-to-head placement and the shortest game.
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Simulations: 20,000 full tournaments · match data through 2026-10-11 · match model RS1B-lol · tournament patch 26.20 · generated Mon 12 Oct 2026, 04:52 UTC.
Crystal Ball is Riot's season-long prediction game that runs alongside Pick'Ems at the League of Legends World Championship. You answer questions about the whole event — stat leaders, champions, records and team results — before picks lock, and each question pays points when the event ends.
By expected Crystal Ball points. For each option we take the points each finishing position pays and multiply them by the probability that the option finishes there across our simulated tournaments, then add them up. Questions with a single correct answer use points times the probability of being correct. We show the top 5 options (every option when a question has fewer than 5). The bar under each option shows its expected points as a share of the top prize, so the bars always follow the ranking; options with equal expected points share a rank (shown as =1, =2 and so on). Ties in the stat itself share a place too, which is why the chances to finish 1st can add up to more than 100%.
Mostly from one Monte Carlo simulation of the whole event. Match winners come from our live League of Legends match model; player and champion stat lines come from each team's own 2026 games in Oracle's Elixir data, replayed game by game with Fearless Draft enforced inside a series. Most questions are read from those same simulated tournaments. Two lean on history: the Finals MVP role uses how often each role won Finals MVP from 2015 to 2025 (smoothed), and the Teemo question combines the simulated number of games with a historical pick rate. Each question's method note says exactly how it was answered.
A free account can unlock any 10 of the 18 questions — your choice, and they stay unlocked for this event. Pro members (Weekly, Monthly or Yearly) see all 18. Visitors who are not signed in see the questions and the method, but no picks.
No. They are probabilities from a model and historical data, not certainties. Upsets, roster changes and a new patch can all move the real outcome. Use them as one input to your own picks.
No. Esports Oracle is an independent site and is not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by Riot Games.
Esports Oracle is not affiliated with, endorsed or sponsored by Riot Games. League of Legends, Worlds and Crystal Ball are trademarks of Riot Games, Inc. Picks are model probabilities, not guarantees.